Friday, April 3, 2020

No sign of coronavirus? Here's why you could still carry it (and spread it)

Studies show that carriers with moderate or no symptoms are a key component of COVID-19 spread...
One of the main issues surrounding the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak is the speed with which the virus spreads. Although much of the emphasis has been on isolating patients with symptoms of active disease, a number of recent studies indicate that carriers with mild or no symptoms may help spread the virus.
We know that up to 80% of COVID-19 cases have moderate symptoms. Complicating matters, pulmonologist Joseph Khabbaza, MD, says that signs can not be apparent for up to two weeks. And since these non-specific symptoms (fever, sore throat, cough, diarrhea) that represent other more common illnesses such as flu or cold, many of those infected — especially early in the outbreak — did not know they were carrying the virus.
One research looked back at the initial spread in China and found that people who had contracted the virus but had mild symptoms helped accelerate the spread.
The research used a mathematical model to predict the initial distribution of COVID-19 through hundreds of cities in China. Researchers found that 86% of infections had occurred in the U.S. prior to January 23, 2020. The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) gave a Level 3 travel warning to Wuhan, China, which was unidentified.
Since so many of these unidentified cases displayed mild or even no signs, the study reported that such carriers were at risk of "exposing a far larger portion of the population to virus than would otherwise have occurred." The study also concluded that "unidentified infections were the source of infection for 79% of recorded cases."
The research from Japan highlights the number of carriers of COVID-19 that have no symptoms. One was on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, which was put under quarantine in Japan at the beginning of February 2020 when a former passenger tested positive for the virus was discovered.
The study found that 634 of the 3,063 tests given to quarantine passengers returned positive. It is estimated that about 17.9 percent of these successful patients have no symptoms.
Such findings, says Dr. Khabbaza, highlight the value of following instructions from government and medical agencies on security measures such as quarantine and social distancing. Because so many carriers have little to no symptoms, it is difficult to determine how many people actually carry the virus. This fact makes preventive action all the more necessary.
Since the virus can become airborne through respiratory droplets when an infected person coughs, sneezes, or talks near you (within six feet) and can move by person-to-person contact, social isolation from others, irrespective of symptoms, will help break the chain of transmission.

Cryptocurrency in China is closer than expected

The People's Bank of China (PBC) appears closer to the start of its official digital currency, despite this setback. The central bank has finished the implementation process and is working together with several major private companies on the right regulations before the CBDC is released.

The Digital Currency (CBDC) was postponed indefinitely following the COVID-19 outbreak. However, as the country shows initial recovery phases following this deadly virus, a new report indicates that the launch of the CBDC is closer than anticipated.
In partnership with a variety of local companies including Huawei, China Merchants Bank, Tencent and the tech giant Alibaba, the Chinese central bank has completed the development process.

Five patents linked to the potential digital currency have reportedly emerged between 21 January and 17 March. The patents cover various areas of potential use of the digital currency. These include issuance, digital wallets, the recording of transactions, confidential commercial assistance and assistance for the tracking and handling of illegal accounts.
Besides all trademarks, state laws must also be followed in the digital currency. This could raise problems, according to the study, because the currency has to deal with supervisory banks and insurance authorities. This could be a lengthy process. The exact date of launch of CBDC is therefore not yet known.

Since there is a long-awaited recession in the world, most central banks implement drastic measures to curb the economy. For starters, the US Fed has cut interest rates without precedent and has even declared unrestricted quantitative easing.
With the digital currency launch, China's strategy to stabilize its economy may differ greatly. The CBDC is believed to accelerate growth of Cao Yan, managing director of the Digital Renaissance Project.
The first was to build China's leadership position in this digitally oriented world. The first was to establish its leadership in China. Second, in times of uncertainty a CBDC could be more effective than simply reducing rates.

The Rules of Contagion: Why Things Spread - and Why They Stop




Suddenly, a deadly virus explodes in the population. A political movement is gathering momentum, and then disappears quickly. The vision is like a wildfire, transforming our planet forever. We live in a world that is more interconnected than ever before. Our lives are formed by outbreaks of disease, misinformation, and even aggression, which emerge, spread and fade away with a bewildering pace.

We need to learn the hidden laws that govern them to understand them. From the 'super-spreaders' that might trigger a pandemic or bring the financial system down to the social dynamics that make loneliness catch on, The Rules of Contagion provides compelling insights into human behavior and explains how we can better predict what happens next.

Along the way, Adam Kucharski explores how innovations spread across friendship networks, what links computer viruses to folk stories-and why the most useful predictions are not necessarily the ones that come true.

The must read book and good collections for your library to expand your knowledge. The book is available on Amazon.com

https://www.amazon.com/Rules-Contagion-Outbreaks-Infectious-Diseases-ebook/dp/B07JLSHT7M

https://www.amazon.com/Rules-Contagion-Things-Spread-They/dp/1541674316/

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It is a very interesting book for people who want to know a little about "contamination" mathematics. The book covers not only epidemiology but also a much broader context of stock markets and social media, as well as the mechanism behind something that goes "viral" while others are not. This is not a biology book, as it was written by a mathematician, but not a mathematics book either. If you're like me-somewhat nerdy-you'll become familiar with key epidemiological terms and concepts, but you'll have to look elsewhere for the detailed math behind them. If you don't get into math, don't worry. The book is also perfectly suited to non-technical audience.

In his best popular science the Rules of Contagion are. The writing is flawless and clear. The subject is extremely important and fascinating. Adam Kucharski, a fascinating and definite guide to the secret laws of the way things spread, theories and memories, aggression and deadly viruses, was touched on psychology, medicine, network theory and mathematics. The book is also a very infectious example of its subject: you will want to make sure others will read it once you read it.

Bright Comet Last Seen by Ancient Egyptians Could Grace Our Skies Just as Coronavirus Peaks

A comet that hasn’t visited our solar system in about 5,500 years will become visible to the naked eye later this month, gracing skies in the northern hemisphere.